Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.001719 0.001905 0.002092 0.002293 0.002503 0.002716 0.002947
2025-02-09 0.001524 0.001800 0.002084 0.002398 0.002734 0.003080 0.003462
2025-02-16 0.001305 0.001645 0.002006 0.002413 0.002857 0.003323 0.003845
2025-02-23 0.001061 0.001441 0.001858 0.002340 0.002875 0.003446 0.004094
2025-03-02 0.000859 0.001266 0.001728 0.002274 0.002893 0.003562 0.004331
2025-03-09 0.000694 0.001119 0.001616 0.002220 0.002915 0.003678 0.004564
2025-03-16 0.000569 0.001006 0.001537 0.002195 0.002966 0.003820 0.004822
2025-03-23 0.000510 0.000971 0.001545 0.002270 0.003127 0.004085 0.005217
2025-03-30 0.000431 0.000902 0.001507 0.002285 0.003216 0.004267 0.005515
2025-04-06 0.000378 0.000862 0.001501 0.002335 0.003344 0.004490 0.005859
2025-04-13 0.000348 0.000851 0.001530 0.002427 0.003521 0.004769 0.006265
2025-04-20 0.000269 0.000758 0.001446 0.002374 0.003521 0.004842 0.006435
2025-04-27 0.000194 0.000670 0.001382 0.002367 0.003606 0.005046 0.006795
2025-05-04 0.000158 0.000645 0.001401 0.002470 0.003826 0.005413 0.007350
2025-05-11 0.000106 0.000575 0.001354 0.002482 0.003936 0.005652 0.007760
2025-05-18 0.000051 0.000470 0.001243 0.002406 0.003931 0.005754 0.008010
2025-05-25 0.000016 0.000380 0.001144 0.002338 0.003934 0.005863 0.008267
2025-06-01 0.000001 0.000305 0.001058 0.002282 0.003949 0.005982 0.008534
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000250 0.000997 0.002256 0.003999 0.006143 0.008850
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000234 0.001006 0.002331 0.004180 0.006465 0.009357
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000201 0.000975 0.002346 0.004280 0.006686 0.009742
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000181 0.000970 0.002397 0.004427 0.006964 0.010195
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000175 0.000992 0.002490 0.004631 0.007312 0.010732